{"id":5097,"date":"2024-07-28T02:32:29","date_gmt":"2024-07-28T00:32:29","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/movieetv.com\/ita\/?p=5097"},"modified":"2024-07-28T02:33:11","modified_gmt":"2024-07-28T00:33:11","slug":"oscar-predictions-best-picture-fall-festivals-kick-off-early-awards-buzz-for-blitz-joker-2-and-maria","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/movieetv.com\/ita\/2024\/07\/oscar-predictions-best-picture-fall-festivals-kick-off-early-awards-buzz-for-blitz-joker-2-and-maria\/","title":{"rendered":"Oscar Predictions: Best Picture Fall Festivals Kick Off Early Awards Buzz for Blitz, Joker 2 and Maria"},"content":{"rendered":"

\t\t \t\t\t\t\t \t\t\t\t \t\t\t \t \t\t\t\t \t \t\t\t\t \t \t \t\t\t\t \t \t\t\t \t \t\t\t \t \t\t\t \t \t\t\t \t\t\t \t\t\t \t \t \t \t\t\t\t\t\t \t\t \t\t\t \t \t\t \t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\tPablo Larrain \t\t\t\t\t \t \t\t\t\t\t \t\t\t \t \t\t\t\t\t \t\t \t\t\t\t \tVariety\u00a0Awards Circuit\u00a0section is the home for all awards news and related content throughout the year, featuring the following: the official predictions for the upcoming Oscars,\u00a0Emmys, Grammys and Tony Awards ceremonies, curated by\u00a0Variety\u00a0senior awards editor Clayton Davis. The prediction pages reflect the current standings in the race and do not reflect personal preferences for any individual contender. As other formal (and informal) polls suggest, competitions are fluid and subject to change based on buzz and events. Predictions are updated every Thursday. \tVisit the prediction pages for the respective ceremonies via the links below: \tOSCARS\u00a0|\u00a0EMMYS\u00a0|\u00a0GRAMMYS\u00a0|\u00a0TONYS \t \t\t2025 Oscars Predictions:Best Picture\t \t \t\t\t \t \t\t\t \t \t\t\t \t \t \t \t\t\t \t\t\t \t \t\t\t\t\tRalph Fiennes stars as Cardinal Lawrence in director Edward Berger\u2019s CONCLAVE, a Focus Features release. Credit: Courtesy of Focus Features. \u00a9 2024 All Rights Reserved. \t\t\t\t\t\t\tCourtesy of Focus Features. \u00a9 2 \t\t \t \t\t\t \tWeekly Commentary (Updated July 27, 2024): The early buzz for possible awards contenders has begun. \tVenice Film Festival revealed its lineup with a star-studded affair with the world premieres of Todd Phillips\u2019 \u201cJoker: Folie \u00e0 Deux,\u201d Pablo Larra\u00edn\u2019s\u00a0\u201cMaria\u201d and Luca Guadgnino\u2019s \u201cQueer,\u201d all hoping to make a solid first impression on the international circuit. \tIn Toronto, the slate is headlined with films by Mike Leigh (\u201cHard Truths\u201d), Ron Howard (\u201cEden\u201d), and John Crowley (\u201cWe Live in Time\u201d). In addition, Oscar-winning editor William Goldenberg is making his directorial debut with \u201cUnstoppable\u201d starring Jharrel Jerome and Jennifer Lopez, which could be a commercial awards play. \tRead: All Primetime Emmy predictions in every category on Variety\u2019s\u00a0Awards Circuit. \tTelluride doesn\u2019t release its lineup until the day before the fest begins on Aug. 30. Still, Variety has pointed to the potential strong lineup based on the film\u2019s classifications at other festivals. Among those, it will include the world premieres of possible contenders such as Edward Berger\u2019s \u201cConclave,\u201d RaMell Ross\u2019 \u201cNickel Boys,\u201d Morgan Neville\u2019s \u201cPiece by Piece,\u201d and Joshua Oppenheimer\u2019s \u201cThe End.\u201d In addition, replays from Cannes could also get their bows stateside, including Jacques Audiard\u2019s \u201cEmilia P\u00e9rez.\u201d \tWe also got a first look at James Mangold\u2019s Bob Dylan biopic \u201cA Complete Unknown,\u201d with confirmation that it will be dropping in December but avoiding the fall festival circuit. Watch out for the movie to potentially crash the awards season significantly, especially with star and producer Timoth\u00e9e Chalamet supporting the project. \tThe 97th\u00a0Oscars\u00a0will be held on Sunday, March 2. The full rankings are below. All movie listings, titles, distributors, and credited producers are not final and are subject to change. \t** denotes the film is not yet dated or can open in 2025. \tRead: You can see all Academy Award predictions in all 23 categories on one page on the Variety Awards Circuit: Oscars. \t\t \t\t \t\t\t \t\t\t \t \t\t\t \t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t \t\t\t\t\tImage Credit: Warner Bros.\t\t\t\t \t\t\t\t\t \t \t \t\t\t\t \t \t\tAnd the Predicted Nominees Are\t RankFilm1\u201cEmilia P\u00e9rez\u201d (Netflix) Jacques Audiard, Pascal Caucheteux, Val\u00e9rie Schermann, Anthony Vacarello2\u201cGladiator II\u201d (Paramount Pictures)Lucy Fisher, David Franzoni, Michael Pruss, Ridley Scott, Douglas Wick3\u201cBlitz\u201d (Apple Original Films) Steve McQueen, Arnon Milchan, Yariv Milchan, Eric Fellner, Tim Bevan, Michael Schaefer\u00a04\u201cNickel Boys\u201d (Amazon MGM\/Orion)Joslyn Barnes, Dede Gardner, Jeremy Kleiner, David Levine\u00a05\u201cA Complete Unknown\u201d (Searchlight Pictures)Fred Berger, Bob Bookman, Nina Byrne, Timoth\u00e9e Chalamet, Alan Gasmer, Alex Heineman, Peter Jaysen, James Mangold, Jeff Rosen6\u201cThe Room Next Door\u201d (Sony Pictures Classics) Agust\u00edn Almod\u00f3var7\u201cConclave\u201d (Focus Features)Alice Dawson, Robert Harris, Juliette Howell, Michael Jackman, Tessa Ross8\u201cJoker: Folie \u00e0 Deux\u201d (Warner Bros.)Todd Phillips, Emma Tillinger Koskoff, Joseph Garner9\u201cAnora\u201d (Neon)Sean Baker, Alex Coco, Samantha Quan10\u201cDune: Part Two\u201d (Warner Bros.)Cale Boyter, Tanya Lapointe, Mary Parent, Denis Villeneuve\u00a0Best Motion Picture (Variety Awards Circuit Predictions) \t\t \t\t\t \t\t\t \t \t\t\t \t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t \t\t\t\t\tImage Credit: Courtesy of Cannes Film Festival\t\t\t\t \t\t\t\t\t \t \t \t\t\t\t \t \t\tNext in Line\t RankFilm11\u201cThe Wild Robot\u201d (DreamWorks Animation)12\u201cThe Piano Lesson\u201d (Netflix) 13\u201cSNL: 1975\u201d (Sony Pictures)14\u201cSing Sing\u201d (A24)15\u201cMaria\u201d (No U.S. Distribution)16\u201cA Real Pain\u201d (Searchlight Pictures)17\u201cThe End\u201d (Neon)18\u201cThe Seed of the Sacred Fig\u201d (Neon)19\u201cChallengers\u201d (Amazon MGM)20\u201cWicked\u201d (Universal Pictures)Best Motion Picture (Variety Awards Circuit Predictions) \t\t \t\t\t \t\t\t \t \t\t\t \t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t \t\t\t\t\tImage Credit: Sam Levy\/Netflix\t\t\t\t \t\t\t\t\t \t \t \t\t\t\t \t \t\tOther Contenders\t RankFilm21\u201cHis Three Daughters\u201d (Netflix)22\u201cMemoir of a Snail\u201d (IFC Films)23\u201cInside Out 2\u201d (Pixar)24\u201cWe Live in Time\u201d (A24)25\u201cEden\u201d (No U.S. Distribution)26\u201cBeetlejuice Beetlejuice\u201d (Warner Bros.)27\u201cBetter Man\u201d (Paramount Pictures)28\u201cPiece by Piece\u201d (Focus Features)29\u201cIn the Summers\u201d (Music Box Films)30\u201cThe Substance\u201d (Mubi)Best Motion Picture (Variety Awards Circuit Predictions) \t\t \t\t\t \t\t\t \t \t\t\t \t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t \t\t\t\t\tImage Credit: Courtesy of Brady Corbet\t\t\t\t \t\t\t\t\t \t \t \t\t\t\t \t \t\tAlso In Contention\t RankFilm31\u201cAll We Imagine as Light\u201d (Janus Films\/Sideshow)32\u201cHere\u201d (Sony Pictures)33\u201cBabygirl\u201d (A24)34\u201cThe Friend\u201d (No U.S. Distribution)35\u201cHard Truths\u201d (Bleecker Street)36\u201cThe Apprentice\u201d (No U.S. Distribution)37\u201cQueer\u201d (No U.S. Distribution)38\u201cWithout Blood\u201d (No U.S. Distribution)39\u201cFlow\u201d (Janus Films\/Sideshow)40\u201cThe Brutalist\u201d (No U.S. Distribution)Best Motion Picture (Variety Awards Circuit Predictions) \t\t \t\t\t \t\t\t \tEligible Titles (Best Picture) \t\t\t \t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t \t\t\t\t\tImage Credit: Apple\t\t\t\t \t\t\t\t\t \t \t \t\t\t\t \t** This list is incomplete and not yet finalized. Not all films have distribution or release dates. All are subject to change. \t\t \t\t\t \t\t\t \tMore Information (Oscars: Best Picture) \t\t\t \t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t \t\t\t\t\tImage Credit: Getty\t\t\t\t \t\t\t\t\t \t \t \t\t\t\t \t2024 category winner: \u201cOppenheimer\u201d (Universal Pictures) \u2014 Emma Thomas, Charles Roven and Christopher Nolan \t2024-2025 Oscars Calendar and Timeline (all dates are subject to change) Eligibility period: Jan. 1, 2024 \u2013 Dec. 31, 2024 General entry, best picture, RAISE submission deadline: Thursday, Nov. 14, 2024 Governors Awards: Sunday, Nov. 17, 2024 Preliminary voting begins Monday, Dec. 9, 2024, at 9 a.m. PT. Preliminary voting ends Friday, Dec. 13, 2024, at 5 p.m. PT. Oscar Shortlists Announcement: Tuesday, Dec. 17, 2024 Eligibility period ends: Tuesday, Dec. 31, 2024 Nominations voting begins Wednesday, Jan. 8, 2025, at 9 a.m. PT. Nominations voting ends Sunday, Jan. 12, 2025, at 5 p.m. PT. Oscar Nominations Announcement: Friday, Jan. 17, 2025 Oscar Nominees Luncheon: Monday, Feb. 10, 2025 Final voting begins Tuesday, Feb. 11, 2025, at 9 a.m. PT Final voting ends: Tuesday, Feb. 18, 2025, at 5 p.m. PT Scientific and Technical Awards: Tuesday, Feb. 18, 2025 97th Oscars: Sunday, March 2, 2025 \t \t\tOscars Prediction Categories \t \u2014\u2014Best PictureDirectorActor in a Leading RoleActress in a Leading RoleActor in a Supporting RoleActress in a Supporting RoleOriginal ScreenplayAdapted ScreenplayAnimated FeatureProduction DesignCinematographyCostume DesignFilm EditingMakeup and HairstylingSoundVisual EffectsOriginal ScoreOriginal SongDocumentary FeatureInternational FeatureAnimated ShortDocumentary ShortLive Action ShortCasting (coming in 2026)2024 Oscar Predictions (Variety Awards Circuit) \t \t\tAbout the Academy Awards\t \tThe Academy Awards, better known as the Oscars, is Hollywood\u2019s most prestigious artistic award in the film industry. Since 1927, nominees and winners have been selected by members of the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS). Seventeen branches are represented within the nearly 10,000-person membership. The branches are actors, associates, casting directors, cinematographers, costume designers, directors, documentary, executives, film editors, makeup and hairstylists, marketing and public relations, members-at-large, members-at-large (artists\u2019 representatives), music, producers, production design, short films and feature animation, sound, visual effects and writers. \t\t \t \t \t\t\t\t \t\t\t\t \t\t\t\t\t \t\t\t\t \t\t\t \t\t\t \t \t \t\tMore from Variety \t \t \t \t \t \t \t \t \t \t\t\t\t\t \t\t\t\t \t\t\t \t \t\t\t \t\t\t \t\t\t \t \t\t\t \t \t\t\t \t\t\t\t\t \t\t\t\t \t\t\t \t \t\t\t \t\t\t \t\t\t \t \t\t\t \t \t\t\t \t\t\t\t\t \t\t\t\t \t\t\t \t \t\t\t \t\t\t \t\t\t \t \t\t\t \t \t\t\t \t\t\t \t \t\t\t\t \t\t\t \t<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Pablo Larrain Variety\u00a0Awards Circuit\u00a0section is the home for all awards news and related content throughout the year, featuring the following: the official predictions for the upcoming Oscars,\u00a0Emmys, Grammys and Tony Awards ceremonies, curated by\u00a0Variety\u00a0senior awards editor Clayton Davis. The prediction pages reflect the current standings in the race and do not reflect personal preferences for […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":5099,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[48],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-5097","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-film"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/movieetv.com\/ita\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5097","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/movieetv.com\/ita\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/movieetv.com\/ita\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/movieetv.com\/ita\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/movieetv.com\/ita\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=5097"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/movieetv.com\/ita\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5097\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/movieetv.com\/ita\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/5099"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/movieetv.com\/ita\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=5097"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/movieetv.com\/ita\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=5097"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/movieetv.com\/ita\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=5097"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}